| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 23 2025 | L | Iowa State | 21-24 | 1840.6 | +6.8 | 1847.4 | 58.8% |
| 2 | Aug 30 2025 | W | North Dakota | 38-35 | 1847.4 | -68.4 | 1779.0 | 94.9% |
| 3 | Sep 6 2025 | L | Army | 21-24 | 1779.0 | -55.4 | 1723.6 | 80.8% |
| 4 | Sep 12 2025 | L | Arizona | 17-23 | 1723.6 | -1.1 | 1722.5 | 38.9% |
| 6 | Sep 27 2025 | W | UCF | 34-20 | 1723.6 | +35.8 | 1759.4 | 35.4% |
| 7 | Oct 4 2025 | L | Baylor | 34-35 | 1759.4 | +8.6 | 1768.0 | 45.9% |
| 8 | Oct 11 2025 | W | TCU | 41-28 | 1768.0 | +28.0 | 1796.0 | 35.6% |
| 10 | Oct 25 2025 | W | Kansas | 42-17 | 1805.1 | +49.9 | 1855.0 | 49.0% |
| 11 | Nov 1 2025 | L | Texas Tech | 20-43 | 1855.0 | -29.4 | 1825.6 | 28.5% |
| 13 | Nov 15 2025 | W | Oklahoma State | 14-6 | 1826.5 | -25.8 | 1800.7 | 93.0% |
| 14 | Nov 22 2025 | L | Utah | 47-51 | 1800.7 | +18.6 | 1819.3 | 17.1% |
| 15 | Nov 29 2025 | W | Colorado | 24-14 | 1819.3 | -0.3 | 1819.0 | 79.0% |